Ese uburyo bwo gushimira amafaranga bwatangiye? (Igice cya 1)

Kuva muri Nyakanga, igipimo cy’ivunjisha ry’amafaranga ku nkombe no hanze y’amadolari y’Amerika cyongeye kwiyongera cyane, kandi kigera ku ntera yo hejuru y’iri garuka ku ya 5 Kanama. Muri bo, amafaranga yo ku nkombe (CNY) yazamutseho 2,3% kuva hasi kugeza ku ya 24 Nyakanga . Nubwo yagabanutse nyuma y’izamuka ryakurikiyeho, guhera ku ya 20 Kanama, igipimo cy’ivunjisha ry’amadolari y’Amerika kiracyashimwa na 2% guhera ku ya 24 Nyakanga. ku ya 5 Kanama, ushima 2,3% uhereye ku gipimo cyo hasi ku ya 3 Nyakanga.

Urebye ku isoko ry'ejo hazaza, igipimo cy'ivunjisha ry'amadolari y'Amerika kizinjira mu muyoboro uzamuka? Twizera ko igipimo cy’ivunjisha kiriho ubu ugereranije n’idolari ry’Amerika ni ugushimira byimazeyo kubera ubukungu bw’Amerika bwadindije ndetse n’ibiteganijwe kugabanuka ku nyungu. Dufatiye ku itandukaniro ry’inyungu hagati y’Ubushinwa na Amerika, ibyago byo guta agaciro gukabije kw’ifaranga kwaragabanutse, ariko mu gihe kiri imbere, dukeneye kubona ibimenyetso byinshi by’iterambere ry’ubukungu bw’imbere mu gihugu, ndetse n’iterambere mu imishinga shoramari n'imishinga iriho, mbere yuko igipimo cy'ivunjisha ry'amadolari y'Amerika kizinjira mu cyiciro cyo gushima. Kugeza ubu, igipimo cy’ivunjisha ugereranije n’idolari ry’Amerika kirashobora guhinduka mu byerekezo byombi.

Ubukungu bw’Amerika buragenda buhoro, kandi ifaranga rirashima byimazeyo.
Duhereye ku mibare y’ubukungu yatangajwe, ubukungu bw’Amerika bwerekanye ibimenyetso bigaragara by’intege nke, ibyo bikaba byarigeze gutera impungenge isoko ry’ubukungu bw’Amerika. Nyamara, ukurikije ibipimo nkibikoreshwa n’inganda za serivisi, ibyago by’ubukungu bw’Amerika biracyari hasi cyane, kandi amadolari y’Amerika ntabwo yahuye n’ikibazo cy’imikorere.

Isoko ry'umurimo ryarakonje, ariko ntirizagabanuka. Umubare w'imirimo mishya itari iy'ubuhinzi muri Nyakanga wagabanutse cyane ugera ku 114.000 buri kwezi, kandi umubare w'abashomeri wazamutse ugera kuri 4.3% birenze ibyo byari byitezwe, bituma ubukungu bwifashe nabi "Sam Rule". Mu gihe isoko ry’umurimo ryakonje, umubare w’abakozi ntiwigeze ukonja, ahanini kubera ko umubare w’abakozi ugabanuka, ibyo bikaba byerekana ko ubukungu buri mu ntangiriro yo gukonja kandi butarinjira mu bukungu.

Imigendekere yimirimo yinganda zikora muri Amerika ninganda ziratandukanye. Ku ruhande rumwe, hari igitutu kinini ku gutinda kw'imirimo yo gukora. Urebye ku cyerekezo cy'akazi cyo muri Amerika ISM ikora PMI, kuva Federasiyo yatangira kuzamura igipimo cy'inyungu mu ntangiriro za 2022, icyerekezo cyerekanye ko cyamanutse. Kugeza muri Nyakanga 2024, igipimo cyari 43.4%, umuvuduko w'amanota 5.9 ku ijana ukwezi gushize. Ku rundi ruhande, akazi mu nganda za serivisi gakomeje kwihangana. Twihweje urutonde rw'akazi muri Amerika ISM idakora PMI, guhera muri Nyakanga 2024, igipimo cyari 51.1%, cyiyongereyeho amanota 5 ku ijana mu kwezi gushize.

Kubera ubukungu bwifashe nabi mu bukungu bw’Amerika, igipimo cy’idolari ry’Amerika cyaragabanutse cyane, amadolari y’Amerika yataye agaciro cyane ugereranije n’andi mafaranga, kandi umwanya muremure w’ikigega kinini ku madorari y’Amerika wagabanutse ku buryo bugaragara. Amakuru yashyizwe ahagaragara na CFTC yerekanaga ko kugeza ku cyumweru cyo ku ya 13 Kanama, ikigega kinini cy’amadolari y’Amerika cyari ubufindo 18.500 gusa, naho mu gihembwe cya kane cya 2023 kikaba cyari ubufindo burenga 20.000.